It’s time for me to throw up my hands and admit that I’m just not going to get my arms around the 2010 season. Every time I think I’ve got it figured out someone throws another curve ball and I end up .500 in picks. But it’s too late to stop now.

We find out today who plays in the Super Bowl. I have hunches, but I can see scenarios where any of the four teams move on. Here’s my guess (http://www2.vegas.com/gaming/):

Green Bay (-3.5) at Chicago

The Bears need a low scoring game and possibly some scoring help from the defense and special teams. If this gets to be a shootout I like Aaron Rodgers more than Jay Cutler. The Packers are, arguably, the hottest team in football right now. I was listening to the Mike and Mike Show this week and the two hosts talked with Mark Schlereth about how cold weather and bad field conditions affect games. In a nutshell, they said bad fields help offenses because they know where they are going and defenses don’t. I think there’s some good logic there. The Packers’ offense is better than Chicago’s offense. So I’ll take the Packers to win and cover, but barely.

New York Jets at Pittsburgh (-4)

If the Packers aren’t the league’s hottest team, then I think it’s the Steelers. But last week I would have said it was New England. The Jets put a whoopin’ on them. The Jets are one of the teams I have most had trouble figuring out this season. Going into 2010 I thought they were going to dethrone the Patriots as the class, err, well as the best team in the division. That turned out to be way off base. But after taking a 45-3 butt-kicking from their rivals, they’ve gone on a ridiculous roll. Will they make it a matchup of six seeds in the Super Bowl?

I don’t think so. Ben Roethlisberger might be a bit of a jerk. But he’s a top six quarterback in the NFL. The defense is top two or three, if not the best overall. And Mike Tomlin is one of the best and one of my favorite coaches. Jets give them a battle and keep it close. But Roethlisberger wins out over Sanchez in the end. Jets beat the spread. Steelers go to the Bowl.