We’re 99 days away from the start of the NFL season – which means we’re, oh, about 59 days away from the hard-core start of the fantasy football draft schedule.

But when you’re the world’s 17th fantasy expert, you can’t shut down when it comes to the latest NFL fantasy news. We followed it as closely as possible in real time as it happened, but now that most of the offseason movement has taken place, we’ve had a chance to sift through the moves and take a closer look at what they all mean.

Editorial Director Andy Tellijohn and Fantasy Editor Anthony Maggio spent some time discussing Maggio’s observations and thoughts from a fantasy football perspective as teams head into organized team activities. Here’s what he had to say:

Andy: What does your top 10 look like? At what point in the first round do you start thinking WR or QB, if at all this season – and if not in the first, where?

Maggio: My current top 10: Charles, McCoy, Peterson, Calvin, Graham, Forte, Lynch, Manning, Brees, Green. I suppose that answers the question as to where I start thinking WR, QB, and TE. I think RB is quite deep this season, which means I’ll be grabbing other positions a bit earlier relative to past seasons.

Andy: What highly rated player or players do you see as potential busts in 2014?

Maggio: My biggest bust fear is in that tier of RBs that comes right after the guys in my top 10, for various reasons. Maybe not Eddie Lacy and Le’Veon Bell so much, but Zac Stacy, Reggie Bush, Alfred Morris, Doug Martin, Arian Foster, Frank Gore: all have injury risks, playing time threats, game plan shifts, or some combination of the three that could keep them from producing as RB1s—and almost all will be drafted as such.

Andy: What underrated player or players do you see providing top-of-draft value in 2014?

Maggio: I don’t think Michael Crabtree is terribly underrated, but based on that offense and the fact that he was hurt most of last season, he’s not going to be drafted as a WR1. I think he’s a lock to produce like one, though. Another guy that may not provide top-of-draft value but to keep on your radar off of an injury is Reggie Wayne. Hakeem Nicks was brought in as insurance and to give Andrew Luck another weapon, but I think Wayne’s got another good fantasy campaign in him.

Andy: Who are a couple guys whose stock has really risen since the end of last season?

Maggio: There are a lot, frankly, just based on free agent comings and goings. Toby Gerhart sticks out as obvious in that category, though I don’t anticipate a huge fantasy season for him. Greg Olsen is kind of a sneaky one in that Carolina lost so much of its receiving corps this offseason. I’ve got him as my No. 7 TE right now, but could see him producing as a top five TE easily—and may move him there by August.

Andy: Who are a couple guys whose stock has really sunk since the end of the season?

Maggio: Tony Gonzalez. Why do I have to be a smart ass all the time? Sorry. Knowshon Moreno took a heck of a hit going to Miami to split time with Lamar Miller and friends. Stevie Johnson took a big blow as well, though it was gonna happen whether he stayed in Buffalo or not based on Sammy Watkins being taken fourth overall and Robert Woods entering his second season there.

Andy: After having a couple weeks to analyze, what rookies do you see being in good position to contribute in 2014?

Maggio: Hard to argue against Bishop Sankey, who has an opportunity to replace Chris Johnson in Tennessee. Not the most talented runner in the draft, but he’s got the best opportunity by far. I like Eric Ebron, but think he’ll be overdrafted. I like Mike Evans’ opportunity almost as much as Watkins’, but the latter is certainly the more talented and should be drafted higher. Jeremy Hill and Tre Mason are both in prime positions to contribute early as well, but I hesitate to call them decent fantasy options just yet. Training camps will shake some of that out.

Andy: Do any of the rookie QBs intrigue you as fantasy contributors?

Maggio: If Josh Gordon and Justin Blackmon were to magically not be suspended, both Blake Bortles and Johnny Manziel could at least be guys to gamble on in deeper leagues. But honestly, no, I don’t think any rookie QB will be a fantasy contributor. The best chance probably comes from Teddy Bridgewater with Norv Turner now in Minnesota, but I just don’t see it happening.

Andy: Gordon and Blackmon both appear to be top 10 talents when their heads are on straight, but since that rarely happens, how are you addressing them with respect to redraft or keeper leagues?

Maggio: This question is solely based on personal preference when it comes to risk/reward. I wouldn’t think of drafting either guy before having a solid starting corps, and then at that point it’s based on roster size. But for the most part, because I play in many leagues, I generally go the conservative route if only because in the long run, when you’re dealing with volume, the safer play generally will work out. I roughly equate it to being the house in blackjack. I’m not going to get everything right, but if I just make the smart play every time, over time in most of my leagues things will work out.

Andy: What positional battles will you be watching as OTAs and training camps approach?

Maggio: I alluded to Hill and Mason when talking about rookies, and both those guys will have my attention early. I’m lower on Mason in terms of him taking the job or even a decent chunk of it from Zac Stacy than most, but I’m not calling it out of the question. There’s a much better chance that Jeremy Hill unseats BenJarvus Green-Ellis in Cincinnati, but even then there’s still Giovani Bernard to contend with. The quarterback battle in New York intrigues me. I don’t have any trust in Geno Smith, but if Michael Vick wins the job there’s certainly some interest with Chris Johnson there to potentially give the Jets a little lightning and lightning to go with Chris Ivory’s occasional thunder when he can get healthy enough to suit up.

Andy: The 49ers running back situation. WTF?

Maggio: Good question. I noted Gore above when talking about potential busts, and this is why. There are plenty of shared backfields these days, but I could legitimately see the Niners going with a three-man rotation to keep guys fresh, healthy, and take advantage of different skill sets.

Frankly, I don’t know what to think about Marcus Lattimore until we see him do something on the field. LaMichael James could be traded, as recent reports have indicated, but he’s also extremely explosive—and as such, valuable.

Gore is tried and true, and then you’ve got the rookie Carlos Hyde who could push for playing time. I’ll still comfortably draft Gore, but when it comes to taking a handcuff, I’ll probably just say pass for now until we get more info.