We debated whether or not to bring this segment back this season. We probably should have killed it, lest anyone actually take our betting advice. But it turns out we’re just a bit too degenerate to stop.
So here we go again. We’ll start with a $10,000 bankroll and see how we manage it throughout the season.
$800 – Detroit (+2, -110) vs Arizona – The Lions won a lot of last second games last season. So what? They’ve got a pretty good collection of the team back and Mark Stafford looked really good without Calvin Johnson. The Cardinals are coming off of a disappointing season during which Carson Palmer looked like he should be on his way out. Until Arizona proves something … why are they favored over Detroit on the road?
$800 – NY Jets at Buffalo: under 40 – This will be one of the ugliest games on the schedule this season. I don’t know who will win, nor do I care. It would be fitting if there were a foot of snow on the ground. But it may take three weeks for the Jets to score 20 points. Buffalo isn’t much better.
$800 – Pittsburgh (-9.5, -110) at Cleveland – I like the direction the Browns are going, but they’re not going to beat Pittsburgh, even at home, with a rookie starting QB playing his first game.
$500 – New York Giants (+170 money line) at Dallas – I wish we’d gotten this sooner. The money line started at +231. Rightly it has moved toward the Giants. This would not be an upset in my eyes. Dak Prescott will regress. New York is the better team.
$750 – Detroit (+2, -105) over Arizona – Haven’t understood this line all week, but it’s not moving. Detroit wasn’t terrible last year—Arizona was a huge disappointment. Not sure either of those statements changes in 2017.
$500 – Oakland (+2.5, +105) 0ver Tennessee – Yes, Oakland is traveling east for a 1 p.m. start, and yes, the Titans are better than they’ve been in years. But so is Oakland.
$500 – New Orleans at Minnesota: Under 48 (-110) – The Vikings didn’t look particularly good on either side of the ball in preseason, but the defense will hold New Orleans under 48 points. As long as they do, the Vikings offense may not help push this one over.
$300 – Seattle Seahawks (money line +145) over Green Bay – Pretty sure I have Green Bay in my weekly picks, but for +145 I’ll take a shot on the Seahawks, given the Packers defensive woes the last couple of years.