Bet the Mortgage: Week 11, 2016

We were due to cool off a bit. And we did. But not disastrously. Both of us hit our money line upset bet, so while we lost hypothetical money, we didn’t tank completely.

Both of us were 1-3.

Better things ahead, hopefully.

Some lopsided games on the docket this week as we try to rebound. Here are our bets.

Andy: I was worried about last week. I’ve been living on the Patriots and they had a tough one. I’m confident at least the Patriots will get things back on track.

$4,000 – New England (-13, -110) at San Francisco – Not sure I would like going with a two TD favorite on the road, but the 49ers are that bad – especially against the run. And the Patriots showed last weekend that they could score on the ground too … well, except that one time at the end. Nonetheless, the only way New England doesn’t simply outclass the 49ers this weekend is if they show up and play like they don’t care. Unlikely for a Belichick/Brady team coming off a loss on national TV.

$900 – Buffalo (+2.5, even) at Cincinnati – Call it a gut feeling, I like the Bills to win this one outright.

$1,000 – Miami (-2, -105) at Los Angeles – Ok, do I love Ryan Tannehill? No. Is Jay Ajayi as good as he’s been playing? Probably not. But the Dolphins look like they are coming together. Meanwhile, Jared Goff gets his first NFL start against a hot team. This is not the recipe for a positive result.

$1,000 – Arizona (+118 money line) at Minnesota – Can someone please explain to me why the Cardinals are favored in this game? Is it seriously that big a deal that the Vikings signed Kai Forbath to replace Blair Walsh when the offense can’t block or run the ball, the QB has one functional receiver to throw to and the vaunted defense has wilted for a month? Arizona needs this one and they get it comfortably.

Tony: Well, that was fun. Back to the drawing board…

$950 – Tennessee Titans (+2.5, +110) vs. Indianapolis Colts – Yes, Indy is at home. But I am convinced that Tennessee is the better team—if it was higher than +133, I’d probably take it on the money line.

$825 – Detroit Lions (-7, +110) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars – Never would have thought I’d be taking the Lions while giving seven points, but…the Jags have looked pathetic. Must have been my preseason prediction for them.

$1,000 – Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings: Under 40 (-110) – The Vikings offense has been able to stay under quite a bit this year. Might as well ride the train.

$500 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+265 money line) over Kansas City Chiefs – I honestly have no real reason for speculating here…just figured at +265, it’s a safer bet than the Browns at +280, Bears at +260, or Eagles at +240.