NFL Picks: 2011 Season, Week 13

Andy finished 11-5 last week, which would normally be a solid week—unfortunately, he was up against my great football mind, which went 13-3 for the week. OK, to be fair he pretty much handed me the Green Bay/Detroit game…and the Carolina/Indianapolis game.  Still, I’ll take tied after 12 weeks.

Week 13 brings three matchups where we differ, so we’ll definitely see a leader heading into Week 14. Andy appears to be using some of my own logic against me, avoiding two west coast teams that are heading east in picking Miami over Oakland (which might be a solid pick, given how the Dolphins have been playing) and Jacksonville over San Diego. I think the running games from Oakland and Tampa Bay (over Carolina) will carry the day, and that the turmoil in Jacksonville with Jack Del Rio being fired will reign.

(more…)

NFL Picks: 2011 Season, Week 12

We’ve reached Turkey Week—probably our favorite week of the regular season, with a huge meal followed by non-stop football for the rest of the day.  Even the fact that we have to watch the Packers and Cowboys today can’t ruin it.

Last week we managed to split the four games we picked differently, meaning I remain two back for the season.  I’ve lost track of our overall records, but we’re still picking ahead of several national “experts” with our 10-4 last week.  This week, even just the Thursday games provide two games that we go different ways on, followed by two more on Sunday, making for another interesting week.

(more…)

NFL Picks: 2011 Week 11

After weeks of struggling to work my way back to a tie for the overall season record in picking games, we had two games picked differently last week—and I managed to get myself on the wrong side of both of them. My faith in the Jets fans ability to make enough noise to slow down the Patriots and the Browns to do … anything … was clearly unfounded, and now I’ve got my work cut out for me (and yet I’m picking the Browns again this weekend?  Even I don’t know my logic on that one).

In week 11, though, we’ve actually got four games going differently—I would venture a guess that I’ve got the longer shot of being right on more of them, but it’s been a strange last few weeks in the NFL, so hopefully my upsets pan out.

(more…)

NFL Picks: 2011 Week 10

Well, we’re a little late this week–we had our picks turned in with plenty of time, we just didn’t get them posted, due to our real jobs.  And sitting at the two minute warning of the San Diego/Oakland game, it certainly looks like we’re both starting 0-1.

As suspected, Week 9 produced a 1-win advantage for myself, tying Andy and I for the season record at 84-46, which isn’t bad—you’d think that if we could pick games straight up at a 65% clip, that we could pick better bets than we do.  But for whatever reason, no.

Another week of very similar picks this week, but two games (St. Louis/Cleveland and New England/NY Jets) will determine the overall leader.

(more…)

NFL Picks: 2011 Week 9

Fortunately I did NOT go back in and make last second changes to Indianapolis & Denver—I was still thinking they might pull off the upsets, but figured it wasn’t worth it to make the change.  Unfortunately, I didn’t think any more about Carolina or Philadelphia.  Of course, no changes meant we had the second week of the season where Andy and I matched all of our picks—so no change in the season race, Andy still leads by one game (75-41 vs. 74-42).

We finished the week 8-5, and this week’s picks show exactly why jumping out to an early season lead in a pool like this is so important—we have only one game different this week, with Andy going out on a limb with the San Diego Chargers against the currently undefeated Green Bay Packers.

(more…)

NFL Picks: 2011 Week 8

One more week, one more game picked up on Andy—my 9-4 record last week put me just one game back for the year, at 66-37 (vs. 67-36).  The key picks on my radar were the Jets (San Diego doesn’t travel east well), and the Tebows Broncos comeback over the Dolphins.

This week, right now we’re 100% the same, so no more gaining games—I’ve been wavering on picking the Lions to continue their slide, and I’m half tempted to take an extreme upset of Indianapolis over Tennessee for some reason.

(more…)