by Andy | Jan 2, 2017 | 2016 Season, NFL Playoffs
We looked at the AFC playoffs last week. The NFC seeding process wasn’t complete until the final gun sounded Sunday night in Detroit. Now that we’ve got the entire picture, we can take a stab at predicting this mess too.
Here’s who, in reverse order, I suspect has the best chance of emerging from the NFC. (more…)
by Andy | Dec 26, 2016 | 2016 Season, NFL Playoffs
AFC Playoff Prediction
While seeding is still in question, we know who will represent the AFC in the playoffs. But who is going to emerge as the Super Bowl team?
Quarterback injuries and other deficiencies will play a role. Here is who I suspect has the best shot, in reverse order. (more…)
by Andy | Feb 4, 2016 | 2015 season, NFL Picks, NFL Playoffs, Super Bowl
Road teams ruled the wild card round, but home teams have come back with a vengeance. In the six games since
they are undefeated.
That means it’s number one versus number one in the Super Bowl – as it probably should be for the league’s 50th big game.
Tony nailed the conference championship winners. He’s tied with John Vomhof for the entirety of the postseason. The rest of us split the championship games. Here are the standings heading into the Super Bowl.
|
Conf Champ |
Postseason |
| Tony |
2-0 |
8-2 |
| John Vomhof Jr |
1-1 |
8-2 |
| Anthony Maggio |
1-1 |
7-3 |
| Andy |
1-1 |
6-4 |
And after 21 weeks of football, it all comes down to this. Two suffocating defenses and two great QB storylines – the young, brash rising star and the old, breaking down, hall-of-famer to be – squaring off for the Lombardi Trophy. Here’s how we see it: (more…)
by Andy | Feb 4, 2016 | 2015 season, NFL Gambling, NFL Playoffs, Super Bowl
So what I’ve been doing wrong all season is betting on point spreads and money lines and not spending enough time
betting over/unders.
Well, it’s obviously not that simple, but I largely got it right in the conference championship games – though I would have gotten the spread wrong on Carolina/Arizona. I really thought the Cardinals were at least going to put up a better fight.
Nonetheless, two big bets ran my season total back into the black, albeit only slightly. Here are the standings:
|
Starting $$ |
Conf record |
Conf wk $$ |
Playoff record |
Current $$ |
| Andy |
$6,472 |
2-0 |
+$3,722 |
4-5-1 |
$10,194 |
(more…)
by Andy | Jan 23, 2016 | 2015 season, NFL Playoffs, NFL Random Thoughts
Conventional wisdom and the folks in Vegas are predicting a Carolina-New England Super Bowl. I wouldn’t have a huge issue with that – the Patriots were the league’s best team for the first three-quarters of the season before injuries set them back a bit. The Panthers have proven that even with a soft schedule, they are legit.
Truth be told, though, I’d prefer to see a couple different story lines play out. Peyton Manning is a shell of the QB he used to be, but I do have a soft spot for seeing legends go out on top. I’d also like to see guys like Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald rewarded for their years of toil on mostly bad to average teams.
What is your preferred match-up? Vote and then tell us why below.

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by Andy | Jan 23, 2016 | 2015 season, NFL Gambling, NFL Playoffs
Well, that went bad in a hurry. Looking at nothing but the scores, it would appear I at least came close to having a
winning week, but in reality that’s not true. Kansas City’s five minute drive while down two scores at the end of the Patriots game ensured I had no chance at covering that spread. The Seahawks money line bet only missed by a TD, but Seattle was down 31 at half – there was no point after the first 15 minutes where I felt I would win that one.
Even my draw – the over/under push on the Steelers/Broncos game – did nothing more than show how freakishly good the NFL is at setting point spreads and over/under numbers.
So after a couple good weeks put me ahead for the year, I’m now substantially down again – though still not as bad as Tony, who remains at least temporarily in pretend hiding for his substantially brutal results during the season.
| |
Starting $$ |
Division wk rec |
Division wk $$ |
Playoff record |
Current $$ |
| Andy |
$11,472 |
0-3-1 |
– $5,000 |
2-5-1 |
$6,472 |
(more…)
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