Last week’s three for three performance brought me back over .500 for the Best Bets. I’m at 8-6 now, having hit six of my last seven bets. Should’a been in Vegas.

It’d be great to keep the hot streak going. Using the Caesar’s-Hilton line at Vegas.com here are the picks for this week:

1. Kansas City (+3) vs Buffalo
Buffalo followed up a promising start with a four game losing streak. They lost a tough, last second game on Monday night. And they go on the road, to a tough place to play, minus safety Donte Whitner and cornerback Jabari Greer. That’s bad timing for heading to Kansas City where the Chiefs’ offense is starting to click with Tyler Thigpen throwing to the trifecta of Tony Gonzalez, Dwayne Bowe and Mark Bradley. The Chiefs haven’t won many games but I actually like them straight up in this contest.

2. Houston at Cleveland: Over 49.5
Cleveland’s last three games have had totals of 56, 64 and 64. Houston’s have had 60, 54 and 49. The Browns offense has come alive a bit with the insertion of Brady Quinn. Steve Slaton ran for more than 150 yards against Indianapolis last week. There’s a lot for both offenses to be hanging their hats on right now while both defenses should be hanging their heads in shame. I’d consider pairing this with Cleveland (-3) beating the spread as well.

3. Baltimore (-1) vs Philadelphia
Brian Westbrook is in a slump and he missed a Friday practice. The Eagles looked terrible last week against Cincinnati on the road and now they head to Baltimore, where the Ravens were destroyed by the New York Giants in the tail end of a three-game road trip. In my mind it’s unlikely that the Ravens let the Eagles repeat that success on the ground. And I don’t think the Eagles passing game is strong enough to keep this close. The Ravens might not score a lot. But they won’t have to in a low-scoring, comfortable win.

4. San Diego (-3) vs Indianapolis
The Colts are a trendy pick to beat San Diego, or at least the spread, and I can see why. The offense does appear to be coming around. And I think they’ll continue to score points this week. But San Diego’s offense is built to succeed against teams like the Colts. The Chargers laid the blueprint last January when they went to Indy and won by pounding Michael Turner and mixing in the pass. The Colts run defense is still soft and I expect LaDainian Tomlinson to have a solid game. If one team or the other gets ahead by more than a score in this one I don’t expect to see a comeback – it could come down to the last drive with neither defense having much success all day. But in the end I like San Diego.