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Just a couple this week – lots of games I think I like, but few I like enough to publish. As always, the odds come from Vegas.com. Playing heavily on the favorites today.

1. Indianapolis (-14) over St. Louis
St. Louis is giving up 252 yards per game via the pass, sixth worst in the league. They’ve only given up eight touchdowns in the air, but likely at least in part because they’ve been behind to the point where opponents focused on milking the clock. Peyton Manning has thrown for 300-plus in every game. He could have that by halftime. The Rams are averaging nine points per game. They will not hold Indy to 23 or fewer.

2. New England (-14.5) over Tampa Bay
If the NFL wants to turn the Brits on to  American football they might want to schedule more competitive games. Tom Brady is starting to look like the Tom Brady of old. And while Tampa hasn’t been scorched through the air by yardage, they have given up 13 passing touchdowns on the season, third most in the league. Meanwhile, the Bucs’ offense isn’t as punchless as St. Louis’ is, but they still don’t have enough power to keep this within two scores.

Good luck.

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2 Responses to Best Bets, Week seven

  • Tony P:

    I certianly agree with these picks.

    Why don’t you have a “Upset of the Week” or a little late now but a “Tough Calls of the Week”? You could pick 3 games a week to predict and we could see if we can beat your record at year’s end.

    Hard picks should generate some conversation. Especially if you pick against my team. :)

    Just a thought. Peace- out

  • Andy:

    Those are decent ideas. I’ll kick something like that around. I admit – the “best bets” section has been pretty uninspired this season – and they’re reasonably useless when posted 20 minutes before the games start anyway.

    I’ll ponder shaking it up somehow starting this week or next.

    Thanks.

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