Tony keeps saying we don’t know what we’re talking about. I don’t know what he’s talking about. I missed my upset, but nailed my other three. I guess he’s right about himself though as he clocked in with an 0-4 week, matching my futility from the week before.

We may not be any good at this gambling thing but you have to give us credit for persistence. We keep making inconsistent and clueless bets week after week after week. I guess we’re Vegas’ dream in that respect.

So here we go again:

Andy:

Buffalo (+1) at Miami – Okay, a previously hapless Dolphins team wins two in a row, one against an inconsistent Kansas City team and one against a terrible Washington team, and now they’re getting point spread love? Buffalo’s losses this season have all come against playoff contenders in Dallas, both New York teams and upstart Cincinnati. Miami is not a playoff contender. In fact they’ll still be a top Andrew Luck contender the next time I update that post. Bills win.

Oakland (+1.5) at Minnesota – The Vikings defense looked pretty average against the run in its 45-7 loss at the hands of division rival Green Bay Monday night. Advantage Raiders. Minnesota lost Antoine Winfield for the season, another hit for a secondary that already wasn’t any good. Advantage Carson Palmer. Things are starting to get away from the Vikes while the AFC West could be the Raiders to take. They’ll sneak away with a win on the road this week.

Jacksonville at Cleveland: Under 35.5 – This might be the most hideous game on the schedule this season. Total points in the Jags’ last four games: 20, 38, 19, and 30. Total points in the Browns’ last four games: 25, 42, 30, snicker, 9. Yes, 9. This will be a bad football game between bad football teams that will bore to death the several dozen fans who show up and punish themselves by staying until the bitter end. This could end up as a scoreless tie.

Upset of the Week: Cincinnati (+7.5, +250 money line) at Baltimore – Cincinnati’s three losses this season have all been by seven points or less, so I’m comfortable with the point spread pick. I’m not totally expecting the Bengals to win this game, but anything is possible against Baltimore, which has lost to drek like Tennessee, Jacksonville and Seattle and had to come back from a big deficit at home against Arizona. I thought the Ravens were Super Bowl contenders this season. So far they look like pretenders more often than not.

Tony:

NY Jets (-4.5) @ Denver – Part of me wants to take Denver in this game, just because I can continue to make fun of Denver’s best offense being Tebow taking a knee and praying for the defense to win them the game. But beating Kansas City with a backup TE playing QB and a 3rd string RB in the game is one thing…they can’t actually pull that off against the Jets, can they?

Miami (-2) vs. Buffalo – Miami has been playing well…compared to earlier this season. And Buffalo has been playing…Buffalo-esque, in comparison with recent seasons.

Cincinnati @ Baltimore: Over 40.5 – While both teams have better defensive reputations, both teams offenses have played well at times this season, and when two defensive teams collide, often it seems to lead to offensive explosions.  That’s my logic of betting, at least.  Might be why I’ve done so poorly.

Lock of the week: Number of bets that Andy & I pick correctly: Under 3.5 – Why do I have a feeling that if I bet on this one, I would still find a way to lose?

Upset of the week: Carolina (+7, +265 money line) @ Detroit – Go big or go home, I guess—I picked Carolina to win outright in our weekly picks, so I might as well take the +265 on this one and keep my fingers crossed.