by Andy | Feb 5, 2014 | NFL Gambling, NFL Picks, NFL Playoffs, NFL Random Thoughts
As a matter of course, I like to provide a year-end wrap-up of our picks and bets. It’s a good reference for the future and it provides a level of accountability.
So … after a pretty decent regular season of straight up picks, things were less stellar in the playoffs. I guess that makes sense, as most of the teams that make the postseason are pretty good (for now – but just wait until the playoff field inevitably expands).
You can check out our regular season wrap-up by clicking here.
As for the Super Bowl, coin flip my backside. A game that on paper looked like one of the more intriguing match-ups in quite awhile turned out to be a snoozer.
The Seattle Seahawks made all of us at Zoneblitz look like fools by getting a quick lead on the Broncos and then teeing off on Peyton Manning, making the future Hall of Famer look downright ordinary in the first blowout Super Bowl in awhile. I was not at all surprised Seattle won. I was stunned at the ease with which the Seahawks dispatched Denver.
Each of us picked the Broncos in a close game. Each of us was wrong. That gave Tony the postseason win for correctly predicting seven of the 11 outcomes straight up. Anthony Maggio and I both hit six.
Throughout the entire regular season and into the playoffs I was abysmal against the spread this season. I’m going to have to do some reading during the offseason in order to improve on that in 2014. What an embarrassment. After a 27-38-3 debacle during the regular season, I nailed the line just 3 of 11 times during the playoffs, including botching the Super Bowl — switching to Denver after entering the season having picked Seattle to take home the Lombardi Trophy. Disappointing choice.
I saved face a bit going 6-5 in over/under picks during the postseason, but I’d still be getting killed in Vegas if this were anything more than hypothetical.
And so, with that, we’re heading into the post-season. We’ll have some more thoughts on the Hall of Fame class in the days ahead. We’ll also start looking ahead at fantasy football in 2014 and at the draft. Stay tuned.
by Andy | Jan 28, 2014 | NFL Picks
It’s Super Bowl week.
We’ve gone through 20 weeks of football in anticipation of this game – no I still don’t count the Pro Bowl. Denver’s offense versus Seattle’s defense … have I mentioned that I picked this game before the season?
It’s about all I’ve gotten right … well, except for the championship weekend picks. Here’s how we ended up last weekend.
| |
Championship week |
Playoff total |
| Tony |
1-1 |
7-3 |
| Andy |
2-0 |
6-4 |
| Anthony |
1-1 |
6-4 |
And here’s what we think is going to happen on Sunday.
(more…)
by Andy | Jan 15, 2014 | NCAA Gambling, NFL Picks
Well, the divisional round of playoffs wasn’t quite as spectacular in its drama and excitement as wild card weekend was, but there were still some quality football games. And the results set up two fantastic match-ups in the Championship games.
As far as last week’s hypothetical wagers go, San Diego’s late rally wasn’t enough to upset the Broncos, but it did give the Chargers a cover, which dropped me from 3-1 to 2-2 against the spread. I did go 3-1 in over/under bets, so not all was lost.
So, for the playoffs, I’m 3-5 against the spread and 4-4 in over/unders. Not going to hit early retirement that way: Still plenty of room for improvement. And it doesn’t bode well. I feel like I know who is going to win this weekend’s games, but I think the spreads are right on the nose and I expect two close, tough games (Odds current as of 3:45 p.m. Wednesday per VegasInsider.com).
But I’ll take my chances: (more…)
by Andy | Jan 13, 2014 | 2013 season, NFL Picks
There were a lot of interesting match-ups in the conference semifinals this past weekend and many different results would have created compelling conference championship games this weekend.
But at the end of the day, isn’t the final four probably the most interesting pair of games you could have hoped to watch?
Some may be tiring of the Peyton Manning/Tom Brady rivalry, I suppose. But not me. And this year’s is made more compelling by how many times New England has had to evolve throughout the season in dealing with the losses over time of Aaron Hernandez, Wes Welker, Rob Gronkowski and, for a chunk of the season, Danny Amendola — and that’s just on offense.
And in the NFC, this is the game I’ve wanted to see all along. I pegged San Francisco and Seattle as the top two teams in the conference heading into the season and, though it didn’t play out exactly how I expected it would, in the end that was the result.
So … before picking the results for this week’s games, here’s the wrap-up of our divisional weekend picks: (more…)
by Andy | Jan 8, 2014 | NFL Gambling, NFL Picks
As I mentioned in our picks segment, the divisional playoff round might be my favorite week of football all season. This week we get four games, all of which feature great teams, rivalries or some other reason why it could be compelling football.
Now, based on last week’s results, I’d suggest betting against anything I think is going to happen. I missed three point spread picks (two by two points or less, but still) and three over/under guesses – in keeping with a miserable betting performance during the season.
But the way I see it, that just means there is plenty of room for improvement.
So – here goes. This is what I think is going to happen this weekend (odds information from Vegasinsider.com and current as of Noon, January 8):
Saturday, January 11 (more…)
by Andy | Jan 7, 2014 | 2013 season, NFL Picks
Okay, most of the pretenders are now done for the season. It’s time for my favorite football weekend of the year.
Actually, Wild Card weekend was really, really good this year. There were some epic games, with three of the four being decided in the final minutes.
But normally it’s the divisional round during which I am most excited and interested. By the this weekend comes along you’ve usually narrowed down the contenders to eight top notch teams. That would seem to be the case this week. There are some great games on the slate.
Before we get to our picks, let’s do a quick review of last week’s.Tony had the best week, getting two of the four games correct. Anthony and I both got San Francisco’s win over Green Bay correct, but missed on the other three — though it’s hard to feel too bad. Both Saturday games could have gone either way.
Here’s who we think will win this week: (more…)
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Paul I hope so and that depends if the process changes again
if Hall stays with one coach and one contributor finalists-you can be certain Bill and Kraft will again be those…
I’m also on PFRA under the name PFHOFlover
Robert I think they try Kraft again because he’s the most popular contributor finalist
Paul I hope so